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Media

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July 1st, 2025

Treasury Demand Soars, Price Momentum Slows – Why Patience Could Pay Off

Key Takeaways:

  • Strategy adds $531M of BTC, owning nearly 3% of total supply
  • ETF inflows drop sharply despite high volume
  • Market rally loses steam near resistance

Strategy disclosed another major BTC purchase last week, acquiring $531M of Bitcoin. This pushes its total holdings to 597,325 BTC, or nearly 3% of the total Bitcoin supply. Such sustained accumulation by treasury companies reinforces long-term support for Bitcoin, giving retail investors confidence in future exit liquidity—even as sovereign adoption has yet to begin in earnest.

However, ETF inflows show signs of fatigue:

  • BTC ETFs recorded just $102M of inflows, well below the recent $300M+ daily average
  • ETH ETFs also slowed to $31M, despite increasing trading volumes

This suggests a cooling in short-term institutional enthusiasm, even as market activity remains elevated, raising doubts about Bitcoin’s ability to break $110K without new catalysts.

Price action confirms this fading momentum:

  • Global market cap: ↓ 1.2% to $3.29T
  • Bitcoin: ↓ 1.0% to $106,700
  • Ethereum: ↓ 1.07% to $2,450
  • Solana: ↑ 0.52% to $151

Solana’s relative strength amid broader weakness validates our altcoin overweight, showing resilience even as BTC and ETH pulled back.

While short-term momentum has faded, medium-term signals remain bullish, especially with corporate treasuries accelerating their accumulation pace. We slightly reduced exposure to protect capital but remain constructive—especially on altcoins with room to catch up.

Positioning:

  • Cash: 15% – Held for flexibility as volatility persists
  • BTC: 75% – Core allocation; long-term drivers intact
  • ETH: 7% – Slightly trimmed; inflows slowing
  • SOL: 3% – Maintained overweight; showing relative strength
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